Needs More Muni

I should note that I've previously been pro-Goins at 2B, and have made posts defending the idea of handing him the job until he proves that he can't handle it.  If I remember correctly, those posts also assumed that the Jays would be devoting their offseason to finding pitching help, not standing there holding their dicks.

I know it's fucking spring training, but Munenori Kawasaki had two hits today against Pittsburgh, and that's entirely enough for me.

It's time to hand Munenori Kawasaki the starting 2nd base job.

In fact, there really shouldn't be a question here.  I mean, yeah, find a real 2nd baseman.  But if not, Muni.  Here's what we know:

• Ryan Goins is good at defense, and not good at offense.
• Maicer Izturis is not good at defense, and, well, isn't good at offense either.  I understand, given his contract situation, if the Jays want to make sure he isn't at least somewhat useful before they DFA him to the depths of hell, so he can have the bench role.
• Munenori Kawasaki is good at defense, and at least offers some sort of positive, respectable contribution with the bat.  He walks a lot, and sees a lot of pitches, which is more than you can say about Goins or Izturis.

Simply, Munenori Kawasaki is the best option at 2B, and the more I think about it, the clearer it gets.  That's all fine and good, but then you read the money quote from John Gibbons today:

I said this all last year, when he's on the field, good things usually happen.  When he's at-bat, he gives you a good at-bat, fundamentally, he's a sound defensive player.  On the bases, he's got real good instincts.  Just a good all-around player.

By gum, he's right.  And if Gibby likes him, I likes him.  Walks, basically.

From a projection standpoint, all three stand to offer right around the same value-- in the area of 0.7 WAR (though given how awful Izturis looked last year, I question how they have him being a + defender)-- so it probably isn't going to be a huge difference, no matter who gets the job.  It's the same destination, there are just three different routes we can take to get there.

But isn't part of baseball-- the non-sabermetric part, I suppose-- about the journey, and not the destination?  I mean, I can't make a sabermetric argument that says Muni should be the guy over either Goins or Izturis without having some sort of bias or conveniently neglecting some info somewhere.  I can't see in to the future or anything, so if we had this season take place in three separate parallel universes, where each guy got the job in their own respective one, I can't honestly tell you which is the best and which is the worst.  But dammit, if they're all projecting to offer the same value, how is this

 the odd man out?

Can't be.

I mean, I understand that Ryan Goins is 25 or something, and that the other guys are in their 30's.  I get it.  You want a guy who can be the 2B for years to come, and Goins is the only one who has a shot at improving, given age and typical aging curves or whatever.  They want to give him the job just in case he turns in to something, or let him fail before he goes to Korea to play, a la Eric Thames.

But come on.  It's Ryan Goins.  28 strikeouts, 2 walks, .092 iso.  It's not like he's 20 and struggled against big league pitching the first time he came up either-- he had a .311 wOBA in AAA last year, and a .336 wOBA in AA in 2012.  That's not all that good, so it shouldn't be a surprise that he sucks at hitting against big league pitching, in the AL East no less.

I'm not really a big believer in intangibles, mostly because there's no way to measure them.  I won't argue that they don't exist, or that some guy being really funny and fan-favoritey doesn't have some sort of effect on a team, because it probably does.  I'd way rather, though, have a guy who is good at baseball and a solid hitter than have someone who stretches upside-down and keeps everybody loose with his antics.  Unfortunately, the former isn't really an option right now, which makes Muni the best of a bad situation.

Speaking of options, I think Goins has options.  Send him down.

Banking on Guys

That's a thing people say, right?  To bank on someone?  Like to rely on them?  K.

Just using Fangraphs here, since it's the first website I checked, but the Jays, as of right now, project to have an 82-80 record this year.  These projections, as far as I can tell, pretty much assign full projections of individual players and smash them all together to make a team projection, but I'm not expert.  Despite that, I do know that the individual projections that make them up take a lot of things in to account (such as past performance, player comparisons, age, regression of unsustainable stats like babip or HR/FB ratio) but they also correct for non-individual things like run differential.  These projection systems, for the most part, are pretty accurate to within a couple of wins a significant percentage of the time, but, as we may remember from last season, can occasionally be way, way off.

The Jays, by and large, were favorites to run away with the AL East in 2013, and were being thrown in to some early World Series favorite discussions, yet we know how that turned out.  I'm sure if you were to go back and look at a post from this time last year (go ahead, I'll wait.  It's only like 40 posts anyway), you'd see something that suggests the Jays lining up for 90-some odd wins.  ZiPS, which is my preferred projection system, had the Jays at 88 wins (45 WAR) last year, and whiffed big time.  Of course, 10 of those projected WAR were from Ricky Romero, Josh Johnson and Brandon Morrow, so you see where we're headed here.

Alex Anthopoulos, as you must be aware of by now, neglected to do much of anything this offseason.  JP Arencibia was replaced by Dioner Navarro, Emilio Bonifacio was kind of replaced by Ryan Goins but not really, Rajai Davis is probably going to be replaced by Anthony Gose or Moises Sierra or something, and then Ubaldo Jimenez nope on the rotation.

I mean, yeah, injuries kind of piled up, and Maicer Izturis was supposed to quite a bit better than the worst player in baseball last year, but (1) injuries happen to every team, (2) health, to an extent, is a skill, and (3) some things worked out alright too.

If the three above statements are true, then GM's should:

1. Stop assembling injury prone players
2. Have a backup plan for injuries
3. Not use up roster spots on guys like Mark DeRosa, Aaron Laffey, Ramon Ortiz, who aren't going to work out alright.

I'm getting a little astray from the point that I didn't yet make here, which is that by not improving the rotation, which ranked 26th in total combined WAR, 29th in combined ERA, 28th in combined FIP, 28th in combined xFIP in 2013, and 28th in innings pitched, one of the following must be true for 2014: 

• AA is banking on some combo of a return to form from some rotation guys (Dickey, Morrow, Romero?) and a coming of age from others (Drabek, Stroman, Hutchison, maybe Sanchez? Nolin?)
• AA is expecting even more from his offense (i.e. similar production from Bautista, Edwin, Rasmus, Lind, with more from Lawrie, Reyes, and Melky), with the hope to offset the rotation woes.
• AA's bank is outta money all of a sudden.  The plan was to go buy a free agent pitcher and suddenly, the money's at Fred's house.

I'm kind of inclined to believe bits and pieces of all three of those, actually.  If it took that long for Ubaldo to find 4/$50MM, especially with reports suggesting that the O's decided just the other day to up it to a 4th year, the Jays probably could have had him at a pretty similar price if they wanted to offer it at some point over the last two weeks or so. Similarily, if all it took was a fourth year at $12ish, for a team spending $130MM or so already, and with a bunch of that money coming off the books before that 4th guaranteed year, no less, so maybe they really just didn't want him.

I guess, in a roundabout way, I'm trying to bring this back to the thing about projections taking some things in to account, and not taking in others.  Again, you can look at every team and find an exception or two that we'd never find in projection systems, but I dunno.  This thing, I guess:

A lot of those things aren't accounted for in projection systems.  So, where do we go?  Using ZiPS, one by one, I guess:

• Dickey was complaining about upper back/neck issues for the early part of the season, and said that the WBC sort of messed him up as well.  Now, he says, he'll be more ready to go early on in the year with a no pain and a full spring with his team.  He also doesn't have to pitch with the fear of throwing a knuckleball towards JP Arencibia in the event of something going wrong with Josh Thole.  ZiPS expects 3 WAR out of Dickey, and I'll not argue.
• Mark Buehrle is projected to supply 2 wins and 168 innings.  That's just how projections work.  Most people don't throw 200 innings every year the way Buehrle does.  Most people see their production drop off by half a WAR per season after a certain age.  Most people get hurt and spend time on the DL at least once in their careers.  Even at 35, I'd probably use a pen to write that Buehrle will throw closer to 200 innings than 168.  After this though, we're getting optimistic.
• Brandon Morrow missed three quarters of the season last year, and didn't look good for the other quarter.  He was clearly pitching hurt, but still put up some ugly numbers, which do fuck around with projections (2013 is weighed more heavily than 2012, which is weighed more heavily than 2011).  Still, he isn't exactly a model of health, and shouldn't be relied upon to throw 200 innings until he does it a couple times.  ZiPS likes him for 2.2 WAR and 127 innings, and frankly, we should be thrilled if we get that.
• JA Happ got clocked in the head by a baseball last year and missed a bunch of time.  Most people don't get clocked in the head by a baseball and miss a bunch of time, so it's hard to say what we should be expecting from him.  It's certainly fair to say that he would have been in the rotation all year had he not been clocked in the head by a baseball last year and missed a bunch of time, but projection systems take in to account injury, not head clockings.  Had he missed time with an arm or shoulder injury, we might have a different story.  Had he pitched fewer innings thanks to being relegated to the bullpen or minors we'd have a different story as well.  He probably won't be clocked in the head with a baseball this year, because most pitchers aren't clocked in the head with a baseball every year.  Happ is still a mediocre pitcher, but innings pitched is a component of WAR, which is useful since every inning he throws is one that Ramon Ortiz doesn't.
• Marcus Stroman is a rookie with 0 big league experience.  If he makes the opening day rotation, he shouldn't be expected to do a whole hell of a lot.  ZiPS has him at 114 innings and 1.2 WAR.  There's tons of upside there, but it's unfair to expect much from him.  Still, I think the absence of a Santana or Jimenez means that Stroman is pitching as a starter, and is going to be in the bigs before the all-star break.  I don't necessarily expect Stroman to start the season in Toronto, for development reasons, for service time reasons, and the simple fact that there are some guys without options, and others that are probably ready to go without any extra development in the minors.  They might let Stroman work stuff out in the minors for a few starts and take a flyer on some other guys in the meantime. For example:
• Drew Hutchison, Kyle Drabek, Dustin McGowan, Esmil Rogers, Sean Nolin, Ricky Romero, Todd Redmond, Deck McGuire, Chad Jenkins, or someone else.  Those names aren't all making the rotation.  They won't all get to be the fifth guy in the rotation, and some might not even be Blue Jays by opening day, but a year of healing for some, development for others certainly helps.  Redmond will have to pitch better than he did last year in order to be the guy who gets the call when a pitcher is needed.  Nolin is better than 1.1IP of 40 ERA ball.  Romero won't be 6th on the depth chart unless he pitches well out of the gate.  The depth is better, and if someone comes up and Chien Ming Wang's a start or two-- I use that as a verb despite the fact that 3 of his 7 starts were downright reasonable-- there should be a shorter leash, as opposed to this past year, where there was no option for a while other than to stick with him.  This year's next best option ought to be a lot better than last year's next best option, and it's going to take more injuries to get down to the riffraff 

As far as hitters go, I think we can expect more of the same from Edwin, and most everything else has some variables.

• Melky Cabrera is pretty much the whole reason I decided to make this post.  He had a tumor on his spine that limited his running.  Defensively, we should hopefully see a guy that can actually run around a little bit out there, even if his speed-power or power-power doesn't return.  Even if he ages at the normal rate from a true-talent standpoint, I don't see why that power or mobility wouldn't return at least a bit.  ZiPS has him at 575 PA's and 1.2 WAR, and any other projection system is reasonably close to that, but again, if we can blame the tumor then we should be able to expect more.  His batted ball profile this year was pretty much in tune with his career numbers, but his power numbers were way, way down.  At the absolute worst, he's in a contract year so he should be awesome.
• Adam Lind's projection probably isn't taking in to account the fact that he won't see many lefties this year.  I assume the 524 PA's that he's projected for (ZiPS) consists of good performance against righties and bad performance against lefties, so that needs to be weighted differently, whether that's higher value for him or for some RHB getting more lefty time.
• Colby Rasmus will probably take a step back, given his babip spike and better-than-normal defense.  If he doesn't, though...!
• Maicer Izturis probably isn't a -2 WAR player, and if he is, the Jays probably just release/DFA him.
• Can we expect full-ish seasons from Jose Bautista and Jose Reyes?  Is Dioner Navarro going to be able to handle a fuller workload behind the plate?
• 24 year old's with 1100+ plate appearances tend to get pretty good eventually.  Brett Lawrie is projected to be worth 3.5 WAR per ZiPS, and something like that on most other systems..

Obviously things aren't work out perfectly for everyone, but I think it's pretty clear that AA's mind was made up entering the offseason-- the 2013 iteration of the team wasn't bad, it just couldn't stay on the field.  I'm not so sure.  Yeah, 2013 was pretty unfortunate, but even if this is the exact same team that 2013's version was supposed to be-- and it isn't; Reyes is a year older, Bautista is a year older, Dickey, Buehrle, Edwin... all a year older, all a year past their theoretical primes, wherever the fuck they may be-- injuries and performance rates are going to have to be more preferable than the typical year.  And remember, health is a skill.  Morrow, Reyes, Lawrie and Bautista are all odds-on to miss at least some time. This was a bad offseason.

Update- Yeah, This.

Great Offseason

So the Orioles have signed Ubaldo Jimenez.

Fuck.

That's stupid.  At least JPA's gone.

And uhh, that's about it, isn't it?  I mean, the offseason isn't technically over, because we're still looking at Stephen Drew, Ervin Santana, Nelson Cruz and Kendrys Morales all left unsigned.  It's just that... well.  Let's review, I guess.

• Jettison JP Arencibia.  Addition by subtraction.
• Add Dioner Navarro.  Addition by addition.
• Don't sign Matt Garza, Ubaldo Jimenez, Robinson Cano (as if that was an option).
• ??????????????????????????????????????????
• Don't improve the 2B situation.

What might be the alternative here?  Get Stephen Drew to change positions?

Fuck.

Totally going to sign Ervin Santana now.

Now, a little bit of honesty here.  I wrote the following paragraphs, then deleted them, thinking that it was going to sound ridiculous and rash and too harsh, but ultimately I CTRL-Z'ed them back.

There is an outside shot of the Jays inking Santana and him not sucking horribly.  There is a shot of the Jays acquiring someone through trade.  There is a shot that Stroman starts the year in the bigs and cockslaps everyone, while Morrow and Dickey have good seasons.  The offseason isn't over, and even if it is over, the season isn't over.  Having said all of that:

Perhaps it's time to blow it all up and try again.  Obviously not right now.  Wait a while.  It might work out.  Get to the all-star break or so, and see if injuries fuck everything up, or if performances aren't awesome, and we start looking ahead to 2015.  Trade Bautista, trade Edwin, trade Reyes, trade Dickey, trade Buehrle, trade the whole bullpen, trade anyone older than 26, trade anyone making more than $3MM.

Build from the ground up.  Remember all those prospects that were built up in the pipeline?  Syndergaard, d'Arnaud, etc?  Let's get more of those.

I mean, if you're not going to try, what the fuck is the point?

Dunno, it's not like there's a whole bunch of time left in the offseason for "the plan" to come to fruition, assuming it hasn't already.  I really struggle to believe that the way this offseason's gone down wasn't really the plan all along.  What was up-- waiting for Ubaldo's price to come down to 3 years and $20MM?  I'm like, probably the biggest AA apologist there is, and even I think this is bullshit.

Burnett, and Making Sense

So AJ Burnett is apparently open to pitching in a city other than Pittsburgh, which conflicts with news from earlier this offseason, where it was apparently Pittsburgh or retire.  I think Burnett automatically becomes the best option on the free agent market by virtue of this announcement.

For starters, Burnett wasn't offered a qualifying offer by the Pirates.  Whether that's because they thought he was either returning or retiring, or whether they just didn't think he was worth it, I really can't answer.  Don't know Neil Huntington.  The point remains, though, that Burnett isn't going to cost a draft pick to whichever team signs him.  Ubaldo Jimenez and Ervin Santana don't offer the same convenience.

Burnett is coming off a pretty excellent season with Pittsburgh-- a FIP/xFIP of 2.80/2.92, better than a strikeout per inning, and a pretty nice groundball rate of 56%.  Those would all work spectacularly in Toronto.

Burnett, somewhat unfairly, has gotten a bit of a bad reputation over his career as being fragile or injury-prone.  While that may have been true years ago, he's made 35, 33, 33, 33, 31 and 30 starts in the last six seasons, tallying at least 186 innings each year.

Yeah, a lot of those starts in his Yankee days were really bad, but hey.  Career revival.  And it's not like a Burnett signing going sour would ruin the franchise for years-- he's probably only signing a 1-year deal and then retiring, given that those were his two choices before opening his list of teams up.  If he sucks, who cares, he's a free agent at the end of the year.

And he probably wouldn't suck.  Pittsburgh isn't exactly a pitcher's paradise, and the NL Central has been fucking good these last two years.  He responded by putting up 7 fWAR* over that period, including a 4 WAR season last year.

*- Baseball reference has his 2012 being worth 2.2 and his 2013 worth 1.7 WAR.

It's not like it would be all that hard of a sell either-- he already signed here once before.  He knows the city, knows the stadium, probably knows a lot of the players and personnel.  Often times, we hear about guys who don't want to come here, but then get here and really enjoy it-- Burnett already knows what to expect.  No need to exaggerate or try and sell him on the city.  That at least takes part of the trouble out of attracting him here.

I think the biggest thing about this, though, is the fact that there's no clear-cut best option as far as Ubaldo Jimenez and Ervin Santana go.  Burnett has been better than both of these guys in each of the last two years, won't cost a draft pick, and will cost fewer years.  It's theory time:

What if we live in three separate but parallel universes, where the Jays sign one of each guy in one of those universes.  Let's also assume that in each universe, the pitcher that signs in Toronto performs horribly (and let's face it now, this is a real possibility), returning to his 2011 (Burnett) or 2012 (Santana/Jimenez) form.  If Burnett is in fact commanding 1-year, he just leaves at the end of it all and doesn't come back.  If Santana or Jimenez suck, they're either sticking around for at least two more years, or getting traded for pennies on the dollar.

The other options out there aren't as impressive either-- Bronson Arroyo would likely get pummeled in this league, division and stadium.  Jeff Samardzija is going to cost a lot.  Paul Maholm isn't all that impressive.  It goes on.

But Burnett.  My sweet, sweet Burnett.  One year, even at a higher per-season price than Jimenez or Santana, and then it's over.  Money is off the books, and there's room for another, better free agent.  A quick glimpse at the projected 2015 free agent class of starting pitchers, in no particular order:

Homer Bailey
Max Scherzer
Jon Lester
Justin Masterson
James Shields
Johnny Cueto
Brett Anderson
Dan Haren
Yovani Gallardo
Jake Peavy
Brandon McCarthy

Now, obviously not all of those guys are making it to free agency.  Some will sign extensions, others have options that may be exercised.  Some may not be worth pursuing in a year, but others that I didn't list may become worth pursuing.  Trade candidates can pop up from out of nowhere over the next year.

If they're even necessary.  Remember Marcus Stroman?  Aaron Sanchez?  Sean Nolin?  Those guys are in the system already, are sooooo cheap, and apparently need more time.  How does a year sound?

This is no longer a time for upside.  That's there already-- Brandon Morrow pretty much lost a season last year, and has all that untapped potential.  We don't need more potential.  We need sure things.  Dickey and Buehrle are going to throw 200 innings and be OK or so.  Burnett tossing another 200 innings would be outrageous to go along with that.

Garza to Milwaukee for Some Reason

The other shoe is beginning to fall, so to speak.  Now that Masahiro Tanaka has finally signed in New York, we should be seeing the rest of the pitching market fall in to place shortly.  It's begun, today, with Matt Garza signing in Milwaukee for 4 years and $52MM.  That seems fairly curious to me, both in terms of the team, and the amount of money.

Milwaukee, of course, sucked last year, so I'm wondering about their location on the win curve and whether or not this signing makes sense for them.  Baseball Prospectus figures that their record should have been pretty close to .500, based on 3rd order wins (projected runs for and against.)

Consider that while keeping in mind that they missed Corey Hart's bat all year long, Yovani Gallardo is a shadow of his former self (fewer IP, fewer K/9, decreased fastball velocity), Ryan Braun was suspended and only played half a year, John Axford went ahead and got terrible, blowing save after save, and Rickie Weeks definitely didn't bounce back to being good, and they got some very poor production at 1B in a platoon.  If Mark Reynolds and Lyle Overbay can combine to be replacement level this year, that will be a gain for 4 wins.

All in all, it was a pretty bad year for the Brewers.  There were some bright spots though-- Jonathan Lucroy remains solid behind the plate, Norichika Aoki (who has since been traded for lefty Will Smith) was his solid self, Khris Davis should be pretty good, Carlos Gomez had himself a nice breakoutey-type season, and Kyle Lohse was anywhere from decent to pretty good, depending on your definition of what a good pitcher consists of.

Lohse threw something around 200 innings, which he is apparently good for every year it seems.  He posted a 3.35 ERA, which is pretty good.  He also posted a FIP and xFIP slightly over 4, which is decent. Lohse, though, is the kind of guy who is apparently in the business of out-performing his peripherals, which isn't exactly out of the question, especially for a guy who doesn't strike out a ton of batters-- his ERA and ERA- has outperformed his FIP and FIP- (respectively) in three straight years now.  It's easy to say that Lohse has been getting some fortune with regards to his results of the last few years, just by comparing ERA and FIP, but I'd suggest that his 2013 rWAR (3.3) is closer to correct that his fWAR (1.8).

I certainly expect the Brewers to bounce back a bit this year, and the Garza signing should help.  I say should since Garza has a few red flags of his own.  Pretty rarely does someone moves from the AL East to the NL Central and not improve pretty drastically (though the NL Central was pretty god damn good this year).  Garza's first year in Chicago was pretty lights out, but 2012 and the first half of 2013 (i.e. before the trade) were just fair, and his time in Texas wasn't all that much better.

Moving backwards, Garza was worth 2.2 fWAR (1.4 rWAR) in 2013, and 1.1 fWAR (1.2 rWAR) in 2012.  That's certainly not anything special.  Yeah, he was hurt for a lot of that time, but health is kind of a skill.

It's a ballsy signing for the Brewers, but it may be worth the risk.  At $52MM, I figure he'll need to be worth about 9 WAR over the deal to break even, maybe a bit less if the price of baseball keeps going up.  He's been worth 7.2 rWAR and a hair of 9 fWAR over the past four seasons, which probably doesn't bode well for someone on the wrong side of 30.

As far as applying this to the Blue Jays and Ervin Santana or Ubaldo Jimenez, this is probably good news.  With one fewer suitor out there, Santana and Jimenez probably just took a paycut relative to what they were thinking/hoping they would get.  Santana is now apparently hunting for a deal in the $60MM range, despite having hopes of a $100MM+ deal early this offseason.  I would suspect Jimenez is looking for the same, if not more.

Assuming the Jays sign one of those two pitchers, the pricetag is presumably narrowed down; if Garza is getting $52MM, it seems incredibly unlikely to see either Jimenez or Santana get in the $80MM range, as was once considered probable.  Remember that Garza, unlike Santana and Jimenez, wasn't tied to draft pick compensation, which should drop the pricetag a hair more.

Scattered Thoughts on Tanaka

Are people really outraged about this?  The Yankees offered the guy $155MM.  !!!!  You guys!

I mean, I'm kind of with Stoeten at DJF, though not as aggressively as he is, when he says that he doesn't really believe that there's a 5-year max policy, and that the Jays just have that plastic film over everything that suggests that they're going to bother signing someone to a contract that's too long, and therefore terrible.  What sounds better: "We tried, but we didn't spend enough." or "We like the player, but we only like him at this price and at this length, both of which, were apparently not enough to land the player."  I'm totally not irritated at the idea of signing someone that we don't really know to such a huge deal.

It's just that... well, 7 years and $155MM for Tanaka... it's probably not a good idea.  It might be a good idea.  But it's probably not a good idea.  It's a shit load of money, and it's one of those deals that hurts if it goes bad.  Remember Vernon Wells?  That was only like 7 years and $126MM.  There are definitely some differences between the two in terms of the relative value of a dollar today and eight years ago, but still.

All this suggests that it was just a "highest bidder wins" kind of thing, which, by all accounts, it wasn't.  Tanaka was rumored to prefer LA or NY to any other location for a few reasons, such as location and the apparent opportunity to win now, but also preferring a city having a sizable Japanese population.  It's one thing to suggest we can just throw infinite money at a situation, but if he doesn't care about the difference between the $155MM he got, and whatever the hell any other team offered, biggest offer or not, then what's the difference?

I dunno, maybe I'm too much of an apologist.  We don't know what Tanaka is going to be, though, so there's no real reason to make a big stink about it.

I'm interested to see what Ubaldo, Garza and Santana sign for when everything is said and done.  Based on price and performance though, I'd probably feel pretty good about Ubaldo, Santana and Garza's performance being closer in line with their performance than Tanaka, given that they'll all probably sign deals worth half of what Tanaka signs for.

It Getz Better

This offseason in general has been kind of a letdown, what with the incredibly slow developments in the pitching market, and the lack of Jeff Samardzija acquisitions, right.  That's not to mention that the Jays currently have Ryan Goins and Maicer Izturis slotted in to be the 2B platoon as it stands, 30 or so days before pitchers and catchers report (sidenote: !!!!!), which, to me, might be a bigger problem then the no Samardzija thing.  After all, there's still Tanaka, Garza, Santana and Jimenez to be had-- I left out Bronson Arroyo on purpose-- while the 2B market is all but dried up, now that Cano and Infante are settled in.

Ryan Goins, this past season, gave us .252/.264/.345 over 121 plate appearances, walking just 1.7% of the time, and striking out in over 20% of his plate appearances. That is, of course, terrible.  He made up for it a bit by being worth 6.5 runs defensively, per fangraphs, which translates to .4 fWAR.  Any and all projection systems I've seen don't see a whole lot of promise from Goins though, and we're dealing with some pretty small samples when it comes to the fielding metrics that are making up all of his value.  He seemed pretty outmatched by AAA pitchers, let alone MLB ones, so I think he'd have to be Brendan Ryan-good defensively to ever stick around.

Maicer Izturis is probably not as terrible at baseball as he was this past season, but he's also probably not good enough to be an everyday starter either.  If Izturis wasn't the worst everyday-or-so player in baseball last year, he was certainly close, putting up an astonishingly bad -2.1WAR, though this was kiiind of outta nowhere.  He's hovered around league average for his career until his last year in Anaheim, where what little power he had completely left, as his isolated slugging went from .111 in 2011 to .059 in 2012.  It's not like Anaheim is exactly a hitter's paradise, but I guess he's on the wrong side of 30 now.  The big thing that changed, though, with Izturis, was his defense.  Whether he just didn't take kindly to the turf, has no mobility left, was playing too often in a position that he's not used to, or he just went blind, Maicer Izturis' defensive numbers took a nosedive this past season.  He had graded out as an average fielder for his career through 2012, and had been a well-above average 2B, but he happened to clock in a -26.7 UZR/150 at 2B, and was nearly as bad at 3B too.  Oh, and he sucked offensively too.

It's certainly possible that Goins is good enough defensively that he can provide some value to the team, even if he's bad offensively.  And it's not completely far-fetched that Maicer Izturis isn't the worst player in baseball, and that he regresses back to "somewhat mediocre" now that he's a little more accustomed to the turf.  But given the lack of really solid options for 2B in town right now, and the lack of anything on the market at 2B, it doesn't hurt to have a couple of backup plans.

Enter: Chris Getz.

The Jays have picked Getz up on a minor league deal.  He isn't very good at baseball (relative to other Major Leaguers, of course), but he's certainly not -2.1WAR bad at baseball -- or at least, he won't get the chance to be, the way Izturis did last year, since he was fresh off of signing a 3-year contract.  He doesn't offer much in the way of offense (career 67 wRC+, 52 wRC+ in 2013) or defense (career 2.1 UZR/150 at 2B), but he's not going to kill you either.  He's a halfway decent baserunner, according to stolen base totals (87 of 105 career), so there's at least one nice thing to say about him.

Between Goins, Izturis, Getz and our very beloved Munenori Kawasaki, something, somewhere, is bound to work.  And by "work", I mean not be a terrible, gaping mess of a shitty butt hole.  Which is a giant improvement over last year.