Thursday, 4 April 2013
Go Time: Turbo
If you weren't aware, Mark Buehrle works fucking fast. If you weren't aware again, I have terrible issues with not calling people by their actual names. If you couldn't figure this out yet, I'm going to try to anoint Mark Buehrle with the nickname "Turbo". If it doesn't stick, I'm sure I'll come up with something worse.
What else?
I guess Jose Bautista made some comments about umpires being mediocre and making him look bad. That's one way to put it.
Other than that, uhh... it was at Reynolds' shoulders, so I don't think there's a whole lot to worry about here. Just moving on, I suppose.
Lineups
Jays
Reyes SS
Cabrera LF
Bautista RF
Edwin DH
Lind 1B
JPA C
Derosa 3B
Rasmus CF
Boni 2B
Buehrle P
Indianos
Bourn CF
Cabrera SS
Kipnis 2B
Swisher DH
Brantley LF
Santana C
Reynolds 1B
Chisenhall 3B
Stubbs RF
Myers
Wednesday, 3 April 2013
Go Time: Morrow's Bid for Vengeance
So this is happening.
Remember how Morrow was the best pitcher on the team last year? Let's fucking do it. I personally will not be drinking tonight, but if anyone feels like playing the home version of the drinking game, drink every time someone mentions how terribly disrupted the Indians' hitters' timing will be tonight, having faced a bunch of 74 MPH knucklers yesterday, and a bunch of 92 MPH heaters tonight. As if these people aren't professional baseball players.
It'll be against Ublowdo too, which is probably good news.
Stuff
John Gibbons says that Henry Blanco will, in fact, catch Dickey's next start. That will be this coming Sunday in Fenway.
That's all I needed to hear.
Lineups
Jays
Reyes SS
Cabrera LF
Bautista RF
Edwin 1B
Lind DH
Arencibia C
Rasmus CF
Izturis 3B
Bonifacio 2B
Morrow P
Indians
Bourn CF
Cabrera SS
Kipnis 2B
Swisher 1B
Brantley LF
Santana C
Reynolds DH
Chisenhall 3B
Stubbs RF
Jimenez P
On Supressing the Urge to Kill
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| Thanks the ever-amazing @ChadMoriyama |
It would be all kinds of simple to just blame that on JP Arencibia not catching the ball a bunch of times, and call it a day, but that would probably be pretty lazy. After all, Dickey certainly walked a bunch of guys, and the Jays didn't exactly have a base-runner after what seemed like the fourth inning, from within my drunken haze. The 4th is right around when Masterson seemed to find himself a bit, as far as control went.
I don't think there's any real need to play the blame game here-- there are 161 more games to be found within this season, and even the best team this season is probably going to lose somewhere around 60 of them. We'll not worry about something so menial as a loss.
As far as some specifics, I suppose we'll go bullet-point by bullet-point:
- JP Arencibia/ Henry Blanco: I don't think this was really all that much of a surprise, and we'll be seeing Henry Blanco fairly often when it makes sense. It's going to make sense less often than we think, however. For example, anytime there's a day-game following a night-game, the backup catcher tends to get one of those starts. Assuming Blanco catches every other Dickey start this year, a quick look at the schedule suggests that Blanco will play two of three in the upcoming Boston series. Dickey will throw game three (Sunday) of that series. If Blanco is to catch Dickey and only Dickey, we'll see JP catch in both Friday night and Saturday afternoon's games. Not saying that such a thing can't, or shouldn't happen, especially this early in the year, but it's something to think about.
- R.A. Dickey: It gives me diabetes to think of all the little variables at play here. I just have faith that he'll figure it out. JP's still learning and adjusting, and I'm sure Dickey is too. I don't think he's ever pitched in a sold-out dome stadium before, but things seemed to iron out a bit after three innings. Again, long season.
- Sergio Santos: That slider. Probably going to .gif a few of those later if I don't see it done already.
- Brett Cecil: Did I see 94 on the gun? Mother of God, I did. 9 of 11 pitches were thrown for strikes too. Not exactly nibbling though. Take what you can get, I suppose.
- Adam Lind: I'm getting tired of shitting on this guy. I really am. I'm even trying to be nice to the guy, pointing out all of the positives from within the sea of negatives. With that in mind, let's flash back to the 3rd inning of yesterday's game. This is how the Jays' half of the third inning began.
- - M. Cabrera singled to right, M. Cabrera to second on right fielder D. Stubbs' fielding error
- - J. Bautista walked
- - E. Encarnacion walked, M. Cabrera to third, J. Bautista to second
I just want Josh Willingham on my team.
Quote of the night comes from a guy on the internet, concerning the Lind GIDP-- "[S]tandard Asdrubal making the ball hit right at him look impossible." Really.
See you guys later tonight.
Tuesday, 2 April 2013
Go Time: Dickey vs. Cleveland
It's become a bit of a tradition in my household to get really, really drunk on Blue Jays' opening day and just have a big party with a bunch of food and friends and whatnot. "Beer-an-inning" has always been my rule, but last year got a bit out of hand, what with the 15 inning stretcheroo that we got last year.
Not only that, but it really seems like all of my go-to invitees are either busy with infant children, or are simply living really far away. Plus, it's not like everybody is ready to drink on a Tuesday at the drop of a hat.
So, my friends, I ask of you one favor: let's get hammered together. I present to you the home version of the ESD Opening Day Beer-Drink. There is an element of chance to this, so that we can all have that one friend who just gets way too hammered and then we can laugh at him all the way to the emergency room.
Universal Rules: These are rules that we must all drink to.
- Take a drink every time the Jays score.
- Take a drink every time Pat Tabler says something stupid, illogical, or really old fashioney baseball-like. Examples include someone being "an RBI guy", bunting being a good idea, and of course "big and strong". If someone "plays the game the right way," that counts for 2 drinks.
- Take a drink every time Jose Reyes come to bat. Because we have to celebrate.
- Take a drink every time R.A. Dickey gets a swinging strike.
- Take a drink every time a Blue Jay draws a walk.
- Take a drink every time Buck Martinez does that weird half-laugh, half-air-leak.
- Take a drink every time you hear that stupid "Stadium Love" song or commercial or whatever the fuck.
- Take two drinks for every passed ball.
- Finish your beer if Adam Lind faces a lefty pitcher.
- Finish your beer every time the Blue Jays hit a homerun.
Personal Rules: For each of these, pick one or the other. If your event occurs, take 1 drink. For example, if I pick (a), I only drink when (a) is mentioned, but not when (b) is mentioned.
- When someone mentions (1) the R.A. Dickey trade, or (2) The Marlins trade.
- When someone mentions (3) Mark DeRosa's veteran presence/leadership, or (4) Henry Blanco's veteran presence/leadership.
- When someone mentions (5) JP Arencibia's horrible defense and general presumed malaise with the Dickey knuckleball, or (6) mentions how amazingly well Henry Blanco is at handling Dickey.
- When (7) Buck mentions a former Blue Jay, former teammate, or former roommate; or (8) when Tabler mentions a former Blue Jay, former teammate, or former roommate in an anecdote that is otherwise useless.
- When the PA guy or the organist or whatever plays (9) The Addams Family song, or (10) that other one, that goes "DIN DUN DIN DUN *clap* *clap* *clap clap clap*
- (11) Ground rule double, or (12) Triple.
- When (13) a Dominican does the "Lo Viste" thing-- a peace sign with the index and middle fingers to the side of the eyes-- or (14) the Jose Bautista/Edwin Encarnacion bicep flex celebration.
- When someone mentions the (15) '92 World Series, or (16) the '93 World Series.
- If you're playing with friends, pick a number, 1-9.
- For every run in that particular inning, take an extra drink.
- If a player in that particular batting lineup slot (either team) scores a run at any point in the game, take an extra drink.
- If a player in that defensive position (i.e. 6= shortstop, 8= CF) makes an excellent defensive play, take a drink.
Oh! And the 4th inning is the beer inning.
Stuff
Here's your official roster, if you've been asleep, under a bridge.
Lars Anderson has been traded to the White Sox for cash. He was DFA'ed the other day when the Jays claimed Alex Burnett and Clint Robertson off waivers.
R.A. Dickey and John Gibbons had a presser yesterday, if you feel like that.
Other than that.... uh... Mercy is for the weak.
Lineups
Blue Yays
Reyes SS
Cabrera LF
Bautista RF
Edwin 1B
Lind DH
Arencibia C
Rasmus CF
Izturis 3B
Bonifacio 2B
Dickey the best.
Indians
Bourn CF
Cabrera SS
Kipnis 2B
Swisher 1B
Brantley LF
Santana C
Reynolds DH
Chisenhall 3B
Stubbs RF
Masterson
Lineups
Blue Yays
Reyes SS
Cabrera LF
Bautista RF
Edwin 1B
Lind DH
Arencibia C
Rasmus CF
Izturis 3B
Bonifacio 2B
Dickey the best.
Indians
Bourn CF
Cabrera SS
Kipnis 2B
Swisher 1B
Brantley LF
Santana C
Reynolds DH
Chisenhall 3B
Stubbs RF
Masterson
Monday, 1 April 2013
Predictions
Going to throw out some predictions, and look through Pinnacle Sports and see what kind of fun little wagers we can find. Ready? Go.
Division Winners:
AL East: Toronto Blue Jays
Al Central: Detroit Tigers
AL West: Oakland A's
AL Wild Cards: Angels, Rays
NL East: Washington Nationals
NL Central: St Louis Cardinals
NL West: San Francisco Giants
NL Wild Cards: Reds, Braves
World Series: Nationals
AL Cy Young: Justin Verlander
NL Cy Young: Stephen Strasburg
AL MVP: Evan Longoria
NL MVP: Joey Votto
Bets that I would consider, from Pinnacle:
1321 Chicago White Sox [to win the ALC] 8.980
1355 St. Louis Cardinals [to win the NLC] 3.980
1203 Arizona Over 82.5 Wins 1.962
1209 Chicago Cubs Over 72.5 Wins 1.909
1211 Chicago White Sox Over 81 Wins 2.210
1259 Washington Over 92 Wins 2.040
1001 Atlanta Braves [Win WS] 15.600
1002 Arizona Diamondbacks [Win WS] 53.790
1020 Oakland Athletics [Win WS] 33.660
Because I love longshots.
Over-Unders (Some aren't listed, so I'll just toss in a number):
ATL (87.5)-- Over
ARI (82.5)-- Over
BAL (78.5)-- Over
BOS (83)-- Over
CHC (72.5)-- Over
CWS (81)-- Over
CIN (91)-- Under
CLE (77.5)-- Under
COL (70.5)-- Under
DET (92.5)-- Over
HOU (Predicting 56)
KC (77.5)-- Under
LAA (91.5)-- Under
LAD (Predicting 85)
MIA (63)-- Under
MIL (Predicting 81)
MIN (67.5)-- Over
MIN (67.5)-- Over
NYY (Predicting 81)
NYM (Predicting 74)
OAK (84.5)-- Over
PHI (84)-- Under
PIT (77)-- Over
SD (74.5)-- Under
SF (88)-- Under
SF (88)-- Under
SEA (77.5)--Under
STL (86)--Over
TB (86)-- Over
TEX (predicting 87)
TOR (89)-- Over
WAS (92) Over
TOR (89)-- Over
WAS (92) Over
Have fun everybody, and remember: mercy is for the weak.
Sunday, 31 March 2013
Wednesday, 27 March 2013
The Bench and Bullpen Bind
I was listening to Behind the Dish (Keith Law's podcast) yesterday, in which he and Dave Schoenfield discussed the concept of the 13-man pitching staff, and the more-or-less uselessness of the LOOGY (starts around 9:40). Naturally, I immediately thought of our good friends, the Toronto Blue Jays, who are, in all likelihood, bringing 13 pitchers up North.
Law calls the LOOGY the "biggest waste of a roster spot" in baseball, for example, and he'd rather have a guy who can go a few innings in the bullpen, so as to deepen a bench. Makes sense.
To me, this isn't a huge deal, especially given the way that the Jays (presumably) are planning on going about this. I really hope that the plan is to trade, outright, or possibly option a pitcher to AAA once Brett Lawrie returns to action. Until that happens, we're going to see both Emilio Bonifacio and Maicer Izturis playing practically everyday, which makes the bench as follows: Rajai Davis, Henry Blanco, Mark Derosa.
Yuck.
Not that there's a whole lot else available, but still.
A look at these guys (Career wOBA, 2012 wOBA, career wOBA vs. LHP and career wOBA vs. RHP):
Blanco: .223, .286, .317, .264
DeRosa: .330, .257, .362, .319
Davis: .306, .299, .338, .253
So basically, Davis can kind of hit against lefties (.285 wOBA vs. LHP this past season, over a small sample), while Blanco and DeRosa seem polite. DeRosa could hit lefties in 2009, and has done dick since. He can at least take a walk, so he might be an improvement over Adam Lind, especially against LHP.
I tend to like a bench to mask the weaknesses of the lineup. In this particular case, I see the weaknesses being Adam Lind and Colby Rasmus vs. LHP, and JP Arencibia pretty much always. If this were 2008, DeRosa would be great to be able to plug one of those holes. This is five years later.
I realize that once Lawrie is back and playing 3B every day, we'll see Bonifacio or Izturis filling that last bench slot, and seeing as they're both switch hitters, things will probably improve, and that this will probably only last for like 6 games max, but still.
Hopefully everybody's nice and fresh to begin the year, because this is probably the worst bench in baseball right now. It's not like we're playing National League baseball here, so we don't need to worry about multiple pinch hitters every night; I just hate having such an exploitable detail about a team. Lind and Rasmus are both really vulnerable to lefties, and at the moment, there are no alternatives that make me at all comfortable.
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